The Roman Philosopher Lucius Anneaus Seneca (4 BCE-65 CE) was perhaps the first to note the universal trend that growth is slow but ruin is rapid. I call this tendency the "Seneca Effect."

Thursday, April 13, 2023

What's Wrong With Science? Mostly, it is how we Mismanage it


"A scientist, Dr. Hans Zarkov, works night and day, perfecting the tool he hopes to save the world... His great mind is strained by the tremendous effort" (From Alex Raymond's "Flash Gordon")

We tend to see science as the work of individual scientists, maybe of the "mad scientist" kind. Great minds fighting to unravel the mysteries of nature with the raw power of their minds. But, of course, it is not the way science works. Science is a large network of people, institutions, and facilities. It consumes huge amounts of money from government budgets and private enterprises. And most of this money, today, is wasted on useless research that benefits no one. Science has become a great paper-churning machine whose purpose seems to be mainly the glorification of a few superstar scientists. Their main role seems to be to speak glibly and portentously about how what they are doing will one day benefit humankind, provided that more money is poured into their research projects.

Adam Mastroianni makes a few simple and well-thought considerations in his blog about why science has become the disastrous waste of money and human energy it is today. The problem is not with science itself: the problem is how we manage large organizations. 

You may have experienced the problem in your career. Organizations seem to work nicely for the purpose they were built up to when they include a few tens of people, maybe up to a hundred members. Then, they devolve into conventicles whose main purpose seems to be to gather resources for themselves, even at the cost of damaging the enterprise as a whole. 

Is it unavoidable? Probably yes. It is part of the way Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) work, and, by all means, human organizations are CASs. These systems are evolution-driven: if they exist, it means they are stable. So, the existing ones are those who managed to attain a certain degree of stability. They do that by ruthlessly eliminating the inefficient parts of the system. The best example is Earth's ecosystem: You may have heard that evolution means the "survival of the fittest." But no, it is not like that. It is the system that must survive, not individual creatures. The "fittest" creatures are nothing if the system they are part of does not survive. So, ecosystems survive by eliminating the unfit. Gorshkov and Makarieva call them "decay individuals." You can find these considerations in their book "Biotic Regulation of the Environment."

It is the same for the CAS we call "Science." It has evolved in a way that maximizes its own survival and stability. That's evident if you know just a little about how Science works. It is a rigid, inflexible, self-referencing organization refractory to all attempts to reform from the inside. It is a point that Mastroianni makes very clear in his post. A huge amount of resources and human efforts are spent by the scientific enterprise to weed out what's defined as "bad science," seen as anything that threatens the stability of the whole system. That includes the baroque organization of scientific journals, the gatekeeping control by the disastrously inefficient "peer review" system, the distribution of research funds by rigid old-boy networks, the beastly exploitation of young researchers, and more. All this tends to destroy both the very bad (which is a good thing) and the very good (which is not a good thing at all). But both the very good and the very bad threaten the stability of the entrenched scientific establishment. Truly revolutionary discoveries that really could change the world would reverberate through the established hierarchies and make the system collapse. 

Matroianni makes these points from a different viewpoint that he calls the "weak links -- strong links" problem. It is a correct way if you frame Science not as a self-referencing system but as a subsystem of a wider system which is human society. In this sense, Science exists to serve useful purposes and not just to pay salaries to scientists. What Mastroianni says is that we should strive to encourage good science instead of discouraging bad science. What we are doing is settling on mediocrity, and we just waste money in the process. Here is how he summarizes his idea. 

I strongly encourage you to read the whole Mastroianni's post because it is very well argumented and convincing. It is what we should do to turn science into something useful that we badly need in this difficult moment for humankind. But the fact that we should do that doesn't mean it will be done. Note in Mastroianni's post the box that says "Accept Risk." This is anathema for bureaucrats, and the need for it nearly guarantees that it will not be done. 

Yet, we might at least try to push science into doing something useful. Prizes could be a good idea: by offering prices, you pay only for success, but not for failure. But in Science, prizes are rare; apart from the Nobel prize and a few others, scientists do not compete for prizes. That's something we could work on. And, who knows, we might succeed in improving science, at least a little! 



  1. Billions of humans lived and died in ignorance, and so will you, and so will I. All we can do is try to leave a little less ignorance than we found.

    Strong linked, weak linked. How about cross-linked if things are totally fubar? Artificial categories if not useful, are fun.

    If you are going to walk somewhere it may not matter which foot you start off with as long as you start walking. Proper management of a problem is fine. But most important is a strong desire to actually solve problems, with the focus and perseverance that desire brings. Pick up a foot, one of the two will do.

    Problems we have fester from more of a lack of desire for solutions, than not managing solutions a right way. There is a lot of standing around. There should be more walking.

  2. ...bad science - is any emerging Knowledge that threatens the stability of mainstream Knowledge about Energy....

    "What Energy Really Is" - is at the top of the list of that emerging Knowledge - forbidden

    Black Gold: The War For Soviet Oil | War Factories | Timeline -

    Be patient and wait watching until "reference price for oil" is talked about in the documentary...

    Actually, there never was and will never be a reference price for oil....

    being finite - is oil's only real reference-price....

    Faking a reference price for oil - meant you price the priceless oil at the bottom of the food chain - playing a Civilisation and Social Engineer...

    E=mc² - If it is a constant, then all the universe would know about it - Mass, Energy and all the rest...

    "A derived Value must not violate the Concept of its Value".....

    Our outgoing Western Civilisation's Economics and Social Contract - should have never violated the first of the concepts guarding Life and Existence on Earth:

    ...the concept of 7 years of famine follows 7 years of plenty....

    "In any system of energy, Control is what consumes energy the most.

    No energy store holds enough energy to extract an amount of energy equal to the total energy it stores.
    No system of energy can deliver sum useful energy in excess of the total energy put into constructing it.
    This universal truth applies to all systems.

    Energy, like time, flows from past to future".


  3. Samo Burja's "Great Founder Theory" is the best and most complete description of how bureaucracies are created for a purpose by a founder, and how they fare over time

  4. The science world kinda sounds like the "art world". Thousands producing dross of one form or another. Many journeymen producing stuff for general consumption. Occasionally, often for very mysterious reasons, a star, or a super star, appears.

    Also, within the art world, there is, or can be, intense competition to produce something "new" or "different". I don't think that has happened in a long time. But people go on looking and trying. As is well known, some pieces from some of the big names of the past retain their value and can reach astronomical prices.

    Then, of course, there is the politics of public money and public art...

  5. Are our personalities affected by the positions of the planets at the time of our birth? According to the research work of the late Michel Gauquelin, yes.

    Do we come back after death? Are we reborn? According to the research work of the late Ian Stevenson, yes.

    Are our minds capable of affecting physical targets directly (telekinesis), and can we acquire knowledge of them without the use of our physical senses (telepathy, clairvoyance)? According to the research work of Dean Radin, yes.

    Do scale models of the Great Pyramid of Cheops actually contain special detectable powers? According to the joint research of Osamu Takagi , Masamichi Sakamoto, Hideo Yoichi, Kimiko Kawano and Mikio Yamamoto, yes.

    Yet these and many more absolutely fascinating 'anomalies' are simply ignored by (mainstream) science.

    Which, on the other hand, prattles on about things for which we haven't any evidence (and by definition can't have any). Such as 'dark matter'.

    All these have made me very disillusioned about (mainstream) science. It is no longer concerned with finding the truth, but with maintaining the interests and benefits of an intellectual priesthood who fancy themselves the ones who decide what we the people shall accept as scientific truth and what we shall not.

    As if it's not already a bad enough state of affairs our world now faces. Climate change, resource shortage, the prospect of nuclear war, etc...

    It's a sad world we live in.

    1. In the art world some do a brisk business in selling silk screen prints of Elivs on black velvet. Is it art? Some would insist that it is. So there ya go...

      Continuing with the "art world" analogy, there is a saying: "The idea is just as important as the execution." I generally agree. But, IMO anyway, that doesn't mean that execution counts for nothing.